Prediction market bets on Iran strikes spur allegations of insider trading

Mar 4, 2026 - 01:00
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Prediction market bets on Iran strikes spur allegations of insider trading
A person holds a phone screen that is open on an app store.

Bets placed on the ouster of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei drew scrutiny of prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi on Monday, sparking calls from Democratic U.S. lawmakers to outlaw wagers on military actions ‌that could enrich officials with inside knowledge.